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Impacts on humans:
Sea level rise. The oceans
expand as they absorb heat, causing sea levels to rise. However, the
largest contribution to rising sea levels is expected to be melting polar
ice sheets and sea ice, particularly in the Arctic zone. Researchers
at the University of Arizona's Environmental Studies Laboratory have created these
incredible maps, depicting sea level rise scenarios along the world's
coastlines. They predict that "the
earth will be warm enough in less than 150 years (assuming no reduction in
greenhouse gas emissions) to melt the Greenland Ice Cap", leading a 4 to 6
meter rise in sea level. That rise is more than enough to flood
nearly
half of Florida and inundate cities along the U.S.
eastern seaboard. (image courtesy of University of Arizona's Environmental Studies Laboratory)
Interruption of the Gulf Stream. Global ocean
currents, of which the Gulf Stream is part, run like a giant conveyor belt
(the Thermohaline Circulation). The system is driven by the sinking of
heavy, salty, cold water at specific high-latitude locations,
particularly the North Atlantic. As ocean water sinks in the
North Atlantic, warm Gulf Stream waters rush north to fill the void.
Increasing regional precipitation may dilute North Atlantic waters, and stop
or slow the sinking -- thereby stopping or slowing the Gulf Stream. If
that happens, England and other parts of northern Europe will be much
cooler, because the Gulf Stream keeps the region 5 to 8 degrees warmer
than it normally would be for its latitude .
Agriculture. Temperature increases may cause
agricultural zones to shift northward, opening up new crops for
some areas,
while limiting them in others, where crops and livestock may be threatened
by heat stress and drought. For example, food productivity in the
tropics is likely to decline because many crops are already grown at their
maximum temperature tolerance. Agriculture is also quite vulnerable to
floods, droughts and hail, though these will vary regionally from year to
year.
Human Health. Some of the health
impacts of global warming include deaths from more
frequent temperature extremes (particularly heat waves) and an expanded
range of vector-borne illnesses (those transmitted by rodents and insects).
For example, there is a fear that diseases like malaria could become common
in the United States and Europe.
Impacts on biological systems:
Extinction. Swaths of
species could disappear if warming exceeds their ability to relocate or
adapt to changing conditions. Corals and coral reefs are at
great risk because they are both immobile and highly sensitive to changes in
water temperature.
Shifts in range. Most plant and animal species
are expected to shift poleward with optimum temperatures.
While many
alpine species will simply rise in elevation (toward cooler zones), those already at
high elevations are vulnerable to extinction.
Habitat disappearance. As
the natural environment changes, habitats could shrink or disappear
entirely, threatening the species that depend on them. For example,
the melting of permafrost (permanently frozen ground) near the Arctic is
causing lakes to simply drain into the porous, thawed soil.
The complete disappearance of some lakes, as some scientists are
observing, will affect local bird and aquatic species. |