|
Temperature (Global):
Global surface temperatures (land and ocean) are approaching
a 1 degree Celsius increase since the year 1880. (If that doesn't sound
like much, consider that global temperature during the last ice
age, when much of the United States was covered with ice sheets, was
just 5 degrees below average.) And there is evidence that the warming
has recently accelerated: the five warmest years on record are
1998, 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2001 respectively.

source: National Climatic Data Center,
Ashville, NC
Temperature (United States).
According to the National Climate Data Center, "the last five
5-year periods (2000-2004, 1999-2003, 1998-2002, 1997-2001,
1996-2000), were the
warmest 5-year periods (i.e. pentads) in the last 110 years
of national records, illustrating the anomalous warmth of the
last decade" for the United States.
Precipitation (Global). As the
atmosphere warms, evaporation rates increase and the
hydrological cycle becomes more active. Therefore,
precipitation is expected to increase, as is precipitation
variability (floods and droughts). So far, it is
estimated that precipitation has increased 0.5 to 1% in the
northern hemisphere. During the 20th century, cloud cover
has also increased by about 2% over land areas in the mid and
high latitudes.
Snow Cover and Ice. Changes in snow
and ice cover are a response to increased temperatures. Nearly all mountain glaciers have retreated over the last 100
years, and overall snow cover has declined about 10% since the 1960's.
Warm season sea ice has decreased by 10 to 15% since the 1950's,
while summer Arctic sea ice has shrunk by nearly 40%. Finally, a
widespread decrease in the number of frost days (mornings that
dip below freezing) has been reported over the United States.
More information on
changes in snow
and ice cover is available from the National Snow and Ice
Data Center in Boulder, CO.
Sea level. Global average sea level
has risen by nearly .2 meters over the last 100 years. Due
to thermal
expansion
and melting ice caps, sea level is predicted to rise between
0.09 and 0.88 meters by the year 2100,
partly depending on future greenhouse gas emissions. Visit
the United States Geological Survey's
excellent summary
on sea level and climate.
Oceans. The global oceans have
absorbed a large amount of heat over the last century,
increasing in temperature between .1 and .5 degrees. This
excess heat, which will eventually be transferred to the
atmosphere, may account for a lag in the global warming response
to increased greenhouse gases. It will also contribute to
future sea level rise for decades to come. More on ocean
warming
here and
here.
Extremes. Climate scientists have
reported increases in the number of very hot days over global
land areas, more intense precipitation events, increased
minimum (nighttime) temperatures, and a decrease in the number
of very cold days. There no evidence to date of increases in hurricane, storm
and tornado activity. Click
here for excellent information on changes in weather
extremes in the United States.
Past Climates. Clues about past
weather conditions can be retrieved from
tree-ring
growth cycles, from the chemistry of sediments buried deep below
oceans and lakes, and from air bubbles trapped within glaciers.
The
IPCC(2001) reports that "the magnitude of the warming over the
20th century is likely to have been the largest of any century
in the last
1000 years". Paleoclimate studies also show
that the climate system is capable of very rapid change,
particularly during transition periods between ice ages.
|